Globalization prior to WW1 shows that international economic interdependence today doesn’t contradict the brutal fact of Cold War 2

It’s sometimes said we are not in a Cold War because global trade today is much larger than trade between the West and the Soviet Union during the first Cold War. The following puts that in perspective.

The Library of Congress:

Revelations from the Russian Archives

“As factories stood idle and famine raged in the countryside, Vladimir Lenin instituted the New Economic Policy (NEP) in 1921 to infuse energy and direction into the fledgling Communist-controlled economy. NEP retreated from Communist orthodoxy and opened up the Soviet monolith economically.”

“For a variety of reasons—compassion for the sufferings of the Soviet peoples, sympathy for the great “socialist experiment,” but primarily for the pursuit of profit—Western businessmen and diplomats began opening contacts with the Soviet Union. Among these persons were Averell Harriman, Armand Hammer, and Henry Ford, who sold tractors to the Soviet Union. Such endeavors facilitated commercial ties between the Soviet Union and the United States, establishing the basis for further cooperation, dialogue, and diplomatic relations between the two countries. This era of cooperation was never solidly established, however, and it diminished as Joseph Stalin attempted to eradicate vestiges of capitalism and to make the Soviet Union economically self-sufficient.”

Trade between US and Soviet Union was “trivial”, as pointed out by Daniel Yergin in Politics and Soviet-American Trade: The Three Questions. He wrote in 1977 that US exports to Soviet Union rose to $2,3 billion in 1976.

A cold war however should not primarily be seen in the light of a prior cold war but instead be defined by its potential to trigger a new world war.

Liberalization and globalization was a success in the years and decades before 1914, in such a degree that few people in July 1914 thought a major war was imminent. Niall Ferguson writes in The War of the World (2006):

“As late as July 31 [1914], Rothschild continued to give credence to ‘rumours in the City that the German Emperor [was] using all of his influence at both St Petersburg & Vienna to find a solution which would not be distasteful either to Austria or to Russia’. Only at this, the eleventh hour, did he show signs of grasping the scale of what was happening.”

“Rothschild was by no means exceptionally slow on the uptake. On July 22 – more than three weeks after the assassination at Sarajevo – The Times published what seems to have been the first English-language allusion to the possibility that the crisis in the Balkans might have negative financial consequences.” (…)

“Today’s economic optimists celebrate the fact that ‘the earth is flat’, a level playing field where all countries can compete for world market share on equal terms. A hundred years ago, globalization was celebrated in not dissimilar ways as goods, capital and labour flowed freely from England to the ends of the earth. Yet mass migration in around 1900 was accompanied by increases in ethnic tension from Vladivostok to Višegrad, with ultimately explosive consequences. In 1914 the first age of globalization ended with a spectacular bang because of an act of terrorism by a radicalized Serb in a predominantly Muslim province of the Austro-Hungarian Empire.”

Cold War 2 is primarily an AI robot arms race. Secondly, it’s all about economics and supply chains, since military power is based on economic power. Thirdly, it’s a conflict about territory: Taiwan and the border between Russia and NATO.

The AI robot tech race is not as dramatic as the nuclear arms race during the first Cold War. But semiconductors and AI software control all missiles and weaponized drones, so don’t underestimate the deadly seriousness of the AI robot tech race. But some may forget the danger we are in now because it seems harmless when large corporations present cute robots, convenient autonomous vehicles and cool drones for hobby enthusiasts. Behind this pleasant facade is a conflict that can start WW3, so don’t be fooled when Cold War 2 occasionally seems civilized, nice and conciliatory on the surface.

The fall of the Soviet Union surprised everyone. Cold War 2 can be equally surprising. I bet however that libertine and woke United Coasts of America (UCA) will win the AI robot tech race, the only thing that really matters. If that happens, all culturally conservative traditions all over the planet will be destroyed by a sleazy, disgusting, corporate, LGBT mafioso panopticon.

However, until we have a winner in the AI robot tech race it’s possible that UCA will be relatively unable to contain the economic power of China. Washington, City of London and Canberra may (to some degree) lose the great game of political alliances and supply chains.

Or maybe the whole AI robot tech race suddenly stops because the conflict in Taiwan or Ukraine starts WW3.

Personally, I will support any alliance that is anti-woke, anti-libertine, and will consistently criticize any corporation, nation or empire each time any of them cooperate with libertine or woke companies.

Even logistics and trade alliances are more entertaining than woke Hollywood movies. CaspianReport:

India’s masterplan to counter China

Cold War 2 is so fun that it ain’t healthy for any of us, but let’s be YOLO and enjoy it as long as it lasts. BORZZIKMAN:

NATO’s Days are Numbered – The SCO is Getting Stronger

All the online videos I link to are just meant to be entertainment.

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