Hugh White: the Quad in Asia is a paper tiger

White, an Emeritus Professor of Strategic Studies at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre of the Australian National University in Canberra, does not see the Quad as a real bulwark and deterrent to China’s hegemonic ambitions in the Far East.

GEOPOP (17:04 – 20:19):

China’s Quest for Primacy | Hugh White

I agree with much of what is said in the above video, but I have never been emotionally attached to the idea of Western or American decline. The Quad is maybe a paper tiger in the next ten years, but I still think that the AI and robot creativity of the United Coasts of America (UCA) will secure UCA’s status as the dominant global superpower in the 2030s. This presupposes of course that a major political earthquake in the 2020s doesn’t stop the current technological trajectory of UCA.

Therefore guess that a policy of “hide and bide” will be adopted by Washington and Silicon Valley. Because the internal power struggle in Beijing between those who want regional military expansion and those who seek global economic power may cause Xi to postpone conquests long enough for UCA to contain it with new AI drones and military robots after 2030.

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